Michigan St
W-L: (25- 8) PR = 99.6667Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1009 H New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 3- 4 1010 H New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 2- 0 1017 A Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 2 1018 A Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 3 1024 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 4- 0 1025 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 6- 2 1107 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 2- 1 1108 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 5- 0 1114 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 4- 1 1115 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 1 1121 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 4- 5 1122 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 2 1126 H Colgate (13-21, 96.8) 5- 2 1128 H Colgate (13-21, 96.8) 4- 1 1205 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 0- 3 1206 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 3- 1 1228 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 2 1229 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 4- 1 109 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 6- 2 110 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 1- 2 115 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 4- 3 116 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 4- 1 123 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 1 124 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 2 130 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 6- 3 131 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 5- 4 206 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 207 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 219 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 4- 2 220 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 8- 2 227 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 1- 5 228 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 3- 3 305 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 7- 1 306 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 3 314 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1009 H New Hamp 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.35
1010 H New Hamp 2- 0 2 3 -1.35
1017 A Boston Univ 4- 2 2 1 0.51
1018 A Boston Univ 4- 3 1 1 -0.49
1024 A No Mich 4- 0 4 4 0.45
1025 A No Mich 6- 2 4 4 0.45
1107 H Penn State 2- 1 1 1 -0.32
1108 H Penn State 5- 0 5 1 + 3.68
1114 A Notre Dame 4- 1 3 2 0.84
1115 A Notre Dame 3- 1 2 2 -0.16
1121 H Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.37
1122 H Wisconsin 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.37
1126 H Colgate 5- 2 3 3 -0.21
1128 H Colgate 4- 1 3 3 -0.21
1205 H Michigan 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.13
1206 A Michigan 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.60
1228 A Ferris St 5- 2 3 3 0.37
1229 A Mich Tech 4- 1 3 1 1.73
109 A Ohio State 6- 2 4 1 + 3.40
110 A Ohio State 1- 2 -1 1 -1.60
115 A Wisconsin 4- 3 1 1 0.36
116 A Wisconsin 4- 1 3 1 + 2.36
123 H Minnesota 3- 1 2 2 -0.28
124 H Minnesota 3- 2 1 2 -1.28
130 A Penn State 6- 3 3 1 + 2.41
131 A Penn State 5- 4 1 1 0.41
206 A Michigan 3- 4 -1 -1 -0.40
207 H Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 2.87
219 H Notre Dame 4- 2 2 3 -0.89
220 H Notre Dame 8- 2 6 3 + 3.11
227 H Ohio State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.33
228 H Ohio State 3- 3 0 1 -1.33
305 A Minnesota 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.45
306 A Minnesota 3- 3 0 2 -1.55
314 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1009 H New Hamp 3- 4 -1 3 -- -4.35 227 H Ohio State 1- 5 -4 1 -- -5.33 1121 H Wisconsin 4- 5 -1 1 - -2.37 1122 H Wisconsin 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.37 1205 H Michigan 0- 3 -3 0 - -3.13 314 H Ohio State 2- 3 -1 1 - -2.33 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Minnesota 7- 1 6 2 ++ 4.45 1108 H Penn State 5- 0 5 1 + 3.68 1206 A Michigan 3- 1 2 -1 + 2.60 109 A Ohio State 6- 2 4 1 + 3.40 116 A Wisconsin 4- 1 3 1 + 2.36 130 A Penn State 6- 3 3 1 + 2.41 207 H Michigan 5- 2 3 0 + 2.87 220 H Notre Dame 8- 2 6 3 + 3.11 |
Michigan St Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Army | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Bentley | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Canisius | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Holy Cross | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Mercyhurst | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Niagara | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| RIT | Michigan St | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Rob Morris | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Sacred Heart | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Michigan | Michigan | Michigan 5- 0 vs 3- 2 | ||
| Minnesota | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Notre Dame | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Ohio State | Ohio State | Ohio State | ||
| Penn State | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Wisconsin | Michigan St | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Michigan St | |
| Augustana | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Bemidji St | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Bowl Green | Michigan St | Michigan St 5- 1 vs 2- 1 | ||
| Ferris St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| L Superor | L Superor | L Superor 1- 0 vs 3- 1 | ||
| Mich Tech | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Minn St | Michigan St | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) | Michigan St | |
| No Mich | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| St. Thomas | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Alaska | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Alaska Anch | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lindenwood | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| LIU | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Stonehill | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Brown | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Clarkson | Michigan St | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Colgate | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Cornell | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Dartmouth | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Harvard | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Princeton | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Quinnipiac | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 0) | Michigan St | |
| RPI | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Lawrence | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Union | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Yale | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Boston Col | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Boston Univ | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Connecticut | Michigan St | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Maine | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| UMass | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 1 vs 1- 1 | ||
| Merrimack | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| New Hamp | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Northeastern | Michigan St | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Providence | Michigan St | Michigan St 3- 2 vs 0- 1 | ||
| UMass Lowell | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 1 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Vermont | Michigan St | Michigan St 2- 1 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Arizona St | Michigan St | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Colorado Col | Michigan St | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Michigan St | |
| Denver | Michigan St | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Miami | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth | Minn Duluth 2- 0 vs 0- 0 | ||
| North Dakota | Michigan St | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 1) | Michigan St | |
| Omaha | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| St Cloud St | Michigan St | Michigan St | ||
| Western Mich | Western Mich | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 2) | Western Mich |
PowerWise = 57
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 35.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 3- 4 -3.22 1.23 -0.36 1.03 -1.84
0 H New Hamp (14-22, 96.7) 2- 0 -3.22 1.23 -0.36 1.03 1.77
0 A Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 2 -2.09 2.36 0.36 1.03 5.60
0 A Boston Univ (18-17, 97.8) 4- 3 -2.09 2.36 0.36 1.03 5.60
0 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 4- 0 -4.15 1.00 0.36 1.03 2.80
0 A No Mich ( 3-29, 95.8) 6- 2 -4.15 1.00 0.36 1.03 2.80
0 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 2- 1 -1.19 3.26 -0.36 1.03 5.95
0 H Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 5- 0 -1.19 3.26 -0.36 1.03 5.95
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 4- 1 -2.76 1.69 0.36 1.03 4.21
0 A Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 3- 1 -2.76 1.69 0.36 1.03 4.21
0 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 4- 5 -1.24 3.21 -0.36 1.03 -0.83
0 H Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 1- 2 -1.24 3.21 -0.36 1.03 -0.83
0 H Colgate (13-21, 96.8) 5- 2 -3.08 1.37 -0.36 1.03 2.07
0 H Colgate (13-21, 96.8) 4- 1 -3.08 1.37 -0.36 1.03 2.07
0 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 0- 3 -0.00 4.45 -0.36 1.03 -0.19
0 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 3- 1 -0.00 4.45 0.36 1.03 9.89
0 A Ferris St ( 8-27, 96.7) 5- 2 -3.23 1.22 0.36 1.03 3.26
0 A Mich Tech (22-12, 98.0) 4- 1 -1.87 2.58 0.36 1.03 6.06
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 6- 2 -1.20 3.25 0.36 1.03 7.42
0 A Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 1- 2 -1.20 3.25 0.36 1.03 -0.43
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 4- 3 -1.24 3.21 0.36 1.03 7.33
0 A Wisconsin (23-14, 98.7) 4- 1 -1.24 3.21 0.36 1.03 7.33
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 1 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 1.03 3.98
0 H Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 2 -2.15 2.30 -0.36 1.03 3.98
0 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 6- 3 -1.19 3.26 0.36 1.03 7.45
0 A Penn State (22-14, 98.7) 5- 4 -1.19 3.26 0.36 1.03 7.45
0 A Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 3- 4 -0.00 4.45 0.36 1.03 -0.19
0 H Michigan (28- 8, 99.9) 5- 2 -0.00 4.45 -0.36 1.03 8.39
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 4- 2 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 1.03 2.71
0 H Notre Dame ( 9-25, 97.1) 8- 2 -2.76 1.69 -0.36 1.03 2.71
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 1- 5 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 1.03 -0.80
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 3- 3 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 1.03 ********
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 7- 1 -2.15 2.30 0.36 1.03 5.48
0 A Minnesota (11-24, 97.8) 3- 3 -2.15 2.30 0.36 1.03 ********
0 H Ohio State (17-19, 98.7) 2- 3 -1.20 3.25 -0.36 1.03 -0.80
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********
|
winning pts = 126.4801 losing points = -5.9034
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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